The Flood of 2006

In late June 2006, a slow-moving weather front took position right over our local area and dropped great amounts of precipitation over a prolonged period of time. This resulted in flooding that affected many of our area's residences and roads.

By the morning of Thursday, June 29, the heavy rains had ended but many roads were still closed, particularly around PJ and Matamoras as they had to wait for the river to drop below flood stage. The following data and predictions were posted on the NOAA website as of 4:49am on that morning.

446 AM EDT THU JUN 29 2006

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE DELAWARE RIVER AT PORT JERVIS.
* UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON.
* AT 04 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.7 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER IS FALLING AND WILL CONTINUE TO FALL.

flooddata

Assuming the posted forecasts turned out to be correct,

  1. was the river falling at all locations?
  2. if the river drops at a constant rate from 8am Thursday to 8am Friday, at about what time would the river drop below flood stage in Port Jervis?